International Elo Ratings 2015/06/21

International Elo Ratings

The LPL has recently been a league where anyone can beat anyone; a place where you need a 40+ game season to figure out who was better than who. For the last two splits it seemed that EDG was immune to the chaos. Last weeks upset at the hands of 10th place Unlimited Potential hinted that all was not well after EDG lost their star mid-laner Pawn to injury. But that was just a prologue to this week’s collapse; they went 2-4 against WE, OMG and QG. That’s more games than they lost in the first 4 weeks combined; it’s almost as many games as they lost in the entirety of last split (6). They’ve lost more than 150 points in two weeks; in elo terms it is one of the most precipitous declines I could find.

In Korea another collapse is ongoing, although perhaps this one is more expected; CJ Entus lost 2-0 to Jin Air and 2-1 to Najin, dropping them just past the play-off cut. Fortunately for CJ they’ve had one of the more difficult schedules so far; their last two matches this half will be against Samsung and IM.

Anarchy, by contrast, seems ready to make good on its claim to being the best of the worst in Korea after beating Samsung 2-0. Though that isn’t much of a boast; the top-6 teams have an 80% win rate against the bottom 4. In terms of top-heaviness that’s nothing compared to Taiwan. Last split the top-4 teams had a 96% winrate against the bottom 4. Taiwan has consistently been an outlier in this regard, with only a few really competitive teams. The next highest directly comparable figure from outside the LMS is an 81% win-rate achieved by the top 4 teams in the 2014 NA LCS Spring.

In Europe Fnatic is one win away from tying old Fnatic’s win-streak record. They’ll have to beat 2nd place H2K, who are on a nice winning streak of their own. Actually if H2K beat Fnatic they could tie the record; their next two games are against SK and Elements, both currently tied for last.

In NA, CLG defeated TDK and C9 to occupy the top spot in the NA LCS uncontested for the first time ever. They defend their spot next week against the most fitting opponent: Team Liquid. CLG has a 8 game losing streak against Curse/Liquid (not including a loss by Hotshot and the GG’s in the 2014 Summer Split).

A brief explanation of how these are calculated is here. A full list, including all currently competing wildcard teams, is here.