There are lot of predictions that TSM will lose in the semi finals. It wont happen since the armour still has protections to win the split.
1. Champion pool
Lulu will be priortiy number one for TSM. This champion is a straight up counter to the playstyle of TIP. They need to ban the champion in all three games and if they fail to ban they will lose for sure. Bjgersen needs to be a champion with non ultimate cc champion. He will be the primary engage and they have really good secondary engage from either the mechanical skilled Lustboy or communication effecient from Santorin.
2. Competition is very weak
Clound 9 and Team liquid as team have some glaring issues which can be easily won. TIP is still in their first split. They need to play three perfect games since even games favour TSM more when compared to other teams. TSM also can cheese very well however other teams have predictable play style.
3. TSM weakness
The weakness of TSM will come to earth when they lose. They wont lose normally. They will be crushed so hard that you will not imagine that this same team was kept in a high place for so long. Cloud 9 will be the only team which can make use of this weakness however I am sure that the key weakness will not be exploited by TIP or Team Liquid.
4. TP/Smite incoming
This may be said as the best strategy available in the game. This strategy has some serious flaws which will make it not work during these series. The smite top lane is a huge weakness in team fights as well as trying to fight against dis engage comps. Since TSM mainly focus on dis engage they will be ok against the TP/Smite.
TSM will only fall like a skydive. So if they succeed in playoff’s the true TSM colors can be witnessed during the MSI tournament where teams will be free styling them. The end of the fallacy is near but I dont think the end is now.