International Elo Ratings
It’s been just over a week since the last update, but a lot has changed. There’s a new team on the list after the LCS Summer Promotion Series; TDK enter the rankings as the 2nd lowest NA team. I left both the relegated LCS and LPL squads (Coast, WFX, SHRC, EP, and MYM) and the Wildcard teams on for the time being. The other big change is EDG relinquishing its spot at the top of the list to SKT, who are fresh off their decisive win over the GE Tigers. IG, meanwhile, grabs 2nd place among the LPL teams after its victory in the IET 2015.
As before there are some other, minor, changes that were caused by adding some older, previously un-included tournaments.
Despite an innocuous sounding name and a middle-of-nowhere venue this tournament is very competitive, but also very stratified. There are two clear favourites in SKT and EDG, two serious underdogs in Be?ikta? and AHQ, and TSM and Fnatic as two also-rans hoping for an semi-final upset a la World Elite at IEM.
That said, there’s a real chance that those upsets will occur. Even Be?ikta? has a 6% of beating SKT, only slightly worse than the 8% chance that Kabuum had of beating Alliance. Never forget.
The cross-table shows the chances the horizontal team has of beating the vertical team. The final column indicates the probability that a given team will finish first or tied for first in the group stage.