Worlds Elo Predictions Updated

Elo Predictions

The Worlds Group Stage is half over and surprises abounded. Here are the updated odds of each team advancing to the quarterfinals.

The three teams on 3-0 are all nearly locks to advance, but there’s still a non-trivial chance that any but SKT could be denied. On the flip-side, both LGD and PAIN are going to have a very difficult time getting out of groups, but only the Bangkok Titans can be discounted entirely.

The biggest over-performers are, unsurprisingly, C9 and Origen; LGD are the worst under-performers. Despite a general narrative of unpredictability every other team is doing about as well as the Elo ratings predicted.

Here are the current overall standings:

A brief explanation of the methodology can be found here.