International Elo Ratings 2015/06/07

International Elo Ratings

This week top LPL EDG extended their winning streak to 6 games, including 2 wins (one very close) over second place Invictus Gaming. Snake and Qiao Gu both had decent weeks continue to lag a little behind IG. Good news for King (formerly of the relegated Star Horn Royal Club); they won their first two games, splitting series with Vici and Qiao Gu. That match provided a showdown between Dandy and Insec, except both were playing top lane.

In Korea SKT stumbled, but didn’t fall, in their 2-1 victory over Samsung Galaxy. Meanwhile, KT Rolster and Incredible Miracle played an amazing game 2 as KT looked to overtake CJ and Jin Air while Incredible Miracle attempted to differentiate itself from the other low-tier Korean teams.

It’s still early days in the LCS, with only four games played. The dominant story lines are the upcoming showdown between Origen and Fnatic in EU and C9’s floundering in NA. The standings in both leagues, but in EU in particular, look very stark. But one of several things to consider is the team’s strength of schedule. I’ve listed each of the LCS teams below, along with their win-loss record and the average elo rating of their opponents.

This colours how we perceive some performances. Roccat’s record looks awful, but they’ve played, and lost to, three of the LCS’s best teams (Fnatic, H2K and the Unicorns) while beating Gambit. As for the two 0-4 teams, Gambit has had a tougher time of it than SK, but both have had fairly difficult schedules. H2K, Giants! and the Unicorns of Love are all sitting on good 3-1 records, but all have looked shaky or inconsistent across their games. Part of the reason this has gone mostly unpunished is the weakness of their opponent’s. None of these three teams has won a game against an opponent with a winning record.

In the NA LCS it’s Cloud9 who have faced the greatest difficulty. They played three play-off contenders from last split (Impulse, Gravity and champion TSM) and the very much improved Dignitas. Given this, maybe it isn’t quite time for C9 fans to start panicking. Team Liquid are very much the opposite. En route to their 3-1 record they picked up wins against Team8 (who are 0-4), TDK (playing with three subs) and the newly promoted NME. It’s not surprising that their game against Gravity proved to be a bit of a reality check.

A brief explanation of the methodology is posted here. A full ranking, including all wildcard teams, is here.